Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Coast
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
6 Duke 100.0%   1   27 - 5 14 - 4 27 - 5 14 - 4 +17.6      +11.7 4 +5.9 37 71.0 96 +18.3 3 +15.9 2
12 Miami (FL) 100.0%   2   27 - 6 15 - 3 27 - 6 15 - 3 +15.2      +7.8 24 +7.4 19 61.4 289 +16.1 12 +17.7 1
26 North Carolina 99.1%   7   23 - 10 12 - 6 23 - 10 12 - 6 +12.6      +7.7 27 +4.9 47 79.5 9 +12.6 28 +13.6 3
29 North Carolina St. 96.7%   9   24 - 10 11 - 7 24 - 10 11 - 7 +12.2      +9.7 10 +2.5 104 72.3 72 +12.0 33 +10.6 4
39 Virginia 49.6%   12   21 - 11 11 - 7 21 - 11 11 - 7 +11.1      +3.5 81 +7.6 15 56.9 336 +8.2 61 +9.9 5
53 Maryland 14.5%   22 - 12 8 - 10 22 - 12 8 - 10 +9.5      +2.8 104 +6.6 29 70.0 111 +8.6 56 +6.2 7
93 Boston College 0.0%   16 - 17 7 - 11 16 - 17 7 - 11 +5.0      +5.9 45 -0.8 189 63.4 262 +4.9 97 +6.2 8
102 Georgia Tech 0.0%   16 - 15 6 - 12 16 - 15 6 - 12 +4.6      -1.3 207 +5.9 35 68.3 152 +4.7 100 +3.7 10
109 Florida St. 0.1%   18 - 15 9 - 9 18 - 15 9 - 9 +4.1      +3.5 85 +0.6 152 67.8 161 +7.2 72 +9.0 6
111 Clemson 0.0%   13 - 18 5 - 13 13 - 18 5 - 13 +3.9      -0.8 191 +4.8 51 60.1 308 +1.6 148 +1.7 11
127 Wake Forest 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 12 13 - 18 6 - 12 +2.5      -0.3 180 +2.8 94 73.5 53 +2.6 128 +3.7 9
160 Virginia Tech 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 13 - 19 4 - 14 +0.4      +3.2 92 -2.7 251 71.0 99 +2.3 135 +0.6 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Duke 2.0 100.0
Miami (FL) 1.0 100.0
North Carolina 3.0 100.0
North Carolina St. 4.0 100.0
Virginia 4.0 100.0
Maryland 7.0 100.0
Boston College 8.0 100.0
Georgia Tech 9.0 100.0
Florida St. 6.0 100.0
Clemson 11.0 100.0
Wake Forest 9.0 100.0
Virginia Tech 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Duke 14 - 4 100.0
Miami (FL) 15 - 3 100.0
North Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
North Carolina St. 11 - 7 100.0
Virginia 11 - 7 100.0
Maryland 8 - 10 100.0
Boston College 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia Tech 6 - 12 100.0
Florida St. 9 - 9 100.0
Clemson 5 - 13 100.0
Wake Forest 6 - 12 100.0
Virginia Tech 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Duke
Miami (FL) 100.0% 100.0
North Carolina
North Carolina St.
Virginia
Maryland
Boston College
Georgia Tech
Florida St.
Clemson
Wake Forest
Virginia Tech


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Duke 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   60.6 35.5 3.8 0.0 100.0%
Miami (FL) 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   27.0 45.6 26.0 1.3 0.0
North Carolina 99.1% 0.0% 99.1% 7   0.0 0.7 5.4 19.5 38.4 24.1 8.9 1.9 0.2 1.0 99.1%
North Carolina St. 96.7% 0.0% 96.7% 9   0.1 1.1 7.5 23.5 29.4 23.5 10.4 1.2 3.3 96.7%
Virginia 49.6% 0.0% 49.6% 12   0.0 0.2 2.1 13.6 33.3 0.3 50.4 49.6%
Maryland 14.5% 0.0% 14.5% 0.0 0.4 12.8 1.3 85.5 14.5%
Boston College 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Clemson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wake Forest 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Virginia Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Duke 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.7% 67.6% 43.3% 24.1% 12.5% 6.0%
Miami (FL) 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.9% 56.4% 29.7% 13.6% 5.9% 2.4%
North Carolina 99.1% 0.0% 99.0% 55.8% 20.6% 8.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
North Carolina St. 96.7% 1.2% 96.2% 48.3% 15.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Virginia 49.6% 33.7% 34.8% 15.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Maryland 14.5% 14.1% 7.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston College 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clemson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Virginia Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.6 0.0 1.4 43.2 49.3 6.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 4.4 0.0 2.4 59.4 36.3 1.9
2nd Round 99.9% 3.1 0.1 2.6 21.2 44.9 27.2 3.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 92.4% 1.7 7.6 33.9 43.6 13.6 1.3 0.1
Elite Eight 68.0% 0.9 32.0 47.6 18.8 1.7 0.1
Final Four 39.8% 0.4 60.2 35.7 4.1 0.1
Final Game 20.0% 0.2 80.0 19.4 0.6
Champion 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9